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Tipping Points and Loss Aversion in International Environmental Agreements

机译:国际环境协议中的引爆点和损失厌恶情绪

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摘要

We study the impact of loss-aversion and the threat of catastrophic damages, which we jointly call threshold concerns, on international environmental agreements. We aim to understand whether a threshold for dangerous climate change is as an effective coordination device for countries to overcome the global free-riding problem and abate sufficiently to avoid disaster. We focus on loss-averse countries negotiating either under the threat of either high environmental damages (loss domain), or low damages (gain domain). Under symmetry, that is when countries display identical degrees of threshold concern, we show that such beliefs have a positive effect on reducing the emission levels of both signatories to the treaty and non-signatories, leading to higher global welfare and weakly larger coalitions of signatories. We then introduce asymmetry, by allowing countries to differ in the degree of concern about the threat of disaster. We show that stable coalitions are mostly formed by the countries with higher threshold concern. When enough countries having no threshold concern could cause the coalition size to diminish, regardless of the other countries have strong or mild threshold concerns.
机译:我们研究了规避损失的影响和灾难性损害的威胁(我们共同称阈值关注)对国际环境协议的影响。我们旨在了解危险的气候变化阈值是否可以作为各国克服全球搭便车问题并充分减轻以避免灾害的有效协调手段。我们关注于避免损失的国家在高环境损害(损失域)或低损害(收益域)威胁下进行谈判。在对称的情况下,即当国家对门槛的关注程度相同时,我们表明,这种信念对降低两个签署国和非签署国的排放水平均具有积极作用,导致更高的全球福利和签署国联盟规模较小。然后,通过允许各国对灾难威胁的关注程度有所不同,我们引入了不对称性。我们表明,稳定的联盟主要是由门槛较高的国家组成的。当足够多的没有门槛问题的国家可能导致联盟规模减小时,无论其他国家对门槛问题的关注是强烈还是温和。

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